Hamburg
Election trend
Parties

Hamburg: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 20.02.2020

Polling data

SPD
39.0
+2.0
Grüne
24.0
-1.0
CDU
12.0
-1.0
Linke
8.5
+0.5
AfD
6.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
+0.5
Sonst.
5.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
SPD
-0.2
Grüne
-0.2
CDU
+0.8
Linke
-0.6
AfD
+0.7
FDP
+0.1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1184 respondents – 19.02.2020-20.02.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the State election in Hamburg from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 39%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24%, CDU 12%, Die Linke 8.5%, AfD 6% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.8 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 66.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1184 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (19.02.2020 - 20.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Linke
11
SPD
50
Grüne
31
FDP
6
CDU
15
AfD
8
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
81
SPD + CDU
65
SPD + Die Linke
61

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 19.02.2020 and 20.02.2020 among 1184 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 39%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24%, CDU 12%, Die Linke 8.5%, AfD 6% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.