Hamburg: Poll by Wahlkreisprognose from 16.09.2022

Polling data

SPD
32.0
-8.0
Grüne
27.0
+0.5
CDU
15.0
+5.0
Linke
8.0
+2.0
AfD
7.0
+2.0
FDP
6.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
Wahlkreisprognose – 950 respondents – 09.09.2022-16.09.2022
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Wahlkreisprognose rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
62.1
SPD + CDU + FDP
55.8
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + FDP
50.5
SPD + CDU
49.5


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 62.1% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 09.09.2022 and 16.09.2022 among 950 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 27%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 8%, AfD 7% and FDP 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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