Hamburg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 02.10.2023

Polling data

Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 24.09.2023-02.10.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the State election in Hamburg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 24.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21.5%, CDU 21%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 8.5% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.8 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 52.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (24.09.2023 - 02.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 24.09.2023 and 02.10.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 24.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21.5%, CDU 21%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 8.5% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.