Hamburg: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 24.10.2023

Polling data

SPD
31.0
-2.0
Grüne
19.0
-5.0
CDU
18.0
+4.0
AfD
14.0
+7.0
Linke
10.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
-3.0
Others
4.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
SPD
-8.2
Grüne
-5.2
CDU
+6.8
AfD
+8.7
Linke
+0.9
FDP
-0.9
Trend Research Hamburg – 1068 respondents – 17.10.2023-24.10.2023

Next election: 02.03.2025

The next general election in Hamburg will be held in 86.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 50% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 58% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the State election in Hamburg from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 31%, Grüne 19%, CDU 18%, AfD 14%, Die Linke 10% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 54.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 1068 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (17.10.2023 - 24.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
13
10.9%
SPD
41
33.7%
Grüne
25
20.7%
CDU
24
19.6%
AfD
18
15.2%
SPD + Grüne
54.5%
SPD + CDU
53.7%
SPD + Die Linke
44.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 17.10.2023 and 24.10.2023 among 1068 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 31%, Grüne 19%, CDU 18%, AfD 14%, Die Linke 10% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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