Hamburg: Poll by Forsa from 28.10.2024

Polling data

SPD
30.0
+1.0
CDU
21.0
+5.0
Grüne
21.0
-5.0
AfD
8.0
+1.0
Linke
5.0
-5.0
BSW
4.0
+4.0
FDP
4.0
-3.0
Others
7.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
SPD
-9.2
CDU
+9.8
Grüne
-3.2
AfD
+2.7
Linke
-4.1
BSW
New
FDP
-0.9
Forsa – 1017 respondents – 24.10.2024-28.10.2024

Next election: 02.03.2025

The next general election in Hamburg will be held in 78.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 46% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Forsa shows the following results: SPD 30%, CDU 21%, Grüne 21%, AfD 8%, Die Linke 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.8 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 60.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (24.10.2024 - 28.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
7
5.8%
SPD
43
35.5%
Grüne
30
24.8%
CDU
30
24.8%
AfD
11
9.1%
SPD + Grüne
60.3%
SPD + CDU
60.3%
Grüne + CDU
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 24.10.2024 and 28.10.2024 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 30%, CDU 21%, Grüne 21%, AfD 8%, Die Linke 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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