Hamburg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 24.11.2024

Polling data

SPD
30.0
±0.0
Grüne
21.0
±0.0
CDU
19.0
-1.0
AfD
9.0
±0.0
Linke
6.0
-1.0
BSW
4.0
+4.0
FDP
3.0
-2.0
Volt
3.0
+3.0
Others
5.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
SPD
-9.2
Grüne
-3.2
CDU
+7.8
AfD
+3.7
Linke
-3.1
BSW
New
FDP
-1.9
Volt
+1.7
Infratest dimap – 1177 respondents – 20.11.2024-24.11.2024

Next election: 02.03.2025

The next general election in Hamburg will be held in 82.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the State election in Hamburg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: SPD 30%, Grüne 21%, CDU 19%, AfD 9%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 4%, FDP 3% and Volt 3%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.8 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 60.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1177 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (20.11.2024 - 24.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
9
7.1%
SPD
42
35.3%
Grüne
30
24.7%
CDU
27
22.4%
AfD
13
10.6%
SPD + Grüne
59.5%
SPD + CDU
57.0%
Grüne + CDU
47.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 20.11.2024 and 24.11.2024 among 1177 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 30%, Grüne 21%, CDU 19%, AfD 9%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 4%, FDP 3% and Volt 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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