Hamburg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 19.02.2025

Hamburg: Polling data

SPD
32.0
+1.0
Grüne
18.0
-2.0
CDU
17.0
-1.0
AfD
10.0
+1.0
Linke
10.0
+2.0
BSW
3.0
±0.0
FDP
3.0
±0.0
Volt
3.0
+3.0
Others
4.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-1.5
Grüne
-0.5
CDU
-2.8
AfD
+2.5
Linke
-1.2
BSW
+1.2
FDP
+0.7
Volt
-0.3
Infratest dimap – 1308 respondents – 17.02.2025-19.02.2025

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: SPD 32%, Grüne 18%, CDU 17%, AfD 10%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 3%, FDP 3% and Volt 3%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 57.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1308 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (17.02.2025 - 19.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
14
11.6%
SPD
44
36.4%
Grüne
25
20.7%
CDU
24
19.8%
AfD
14
11.6%
SPD + Grüne
57.0%
SPD + CDU
56.2%
SPD + Die Linke
47.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 17.02.2025 and 19.02.2025 among 1308 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, Grüne 18%, CDU 17%, AfD 10%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 3%, FDP 3% and Volt 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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