Hamburg: Poll by INSA from 26.02.2025

Hamburg: Polling data

SPD
32.0
-6.0
CDU
17.0
+4.0
Grüne
16.0
-7.0
Linke
13.0
+5.0
AfD
11.0
+4.0
BSW
3.0
+3.0
FDP
3.0
-2.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-1.5
CDU
-2.8
Grüne
-2.5
Linke
+1.8
AfD
+3.5
BSW
+1.2
FDP
+0.7
INSA – 1000 respondents – 24.02.2025-26.02.2025

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 41% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from INSA shows the following results: SPD 32%, CDU 17%, Grüne 16%, Die Linke 13%, AfD 11%, BSW 3% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 53.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (24.02.2025 - 26.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
18
14.9%
SPD
43
35.5%
Grüne
22
18.2%
CDU
23
19%
AfD
15
12.4%
SPD + CDU
54.5%
SPD + Grüne
53.7%
SPD + Die Linke
50.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 24.02.2025 and 26.02.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, CDU 17%, Grüne 16%, Die Linke 13%, AfD 11%, BSW 3% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!