Hamburg: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 27.02.2025

Hamburg: Polling data

SPD
33.0
+1.0
CDU
18.0
±0.0
Grüne
17.0
-2.0
Linke
12.0
+3.0
AfD
9.0
±0.0
Volt
3.0
±0.0
Others
8.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-0.5
CDU
-1.8
Grüne
-1.5
Linke
+0.8
AfD
+1.5
Volt
-0.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1046 respondents – 26.02.2025-27.02.2025

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 18%, Grüne 17%, Die Linke 12%, AfD 9% and Volt 3%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 56.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1046 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (26.02.2025 - 27.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
16
13.2%
SPD
45
37.2%
Grüne
23
19%
CDU
25
20.7%
AfD
12
9.9%
SPD + CDU
57.9%
SPD + Grüne
56.2%
SPD + Die Linke
50.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 26.02.2025 and 27.02.2025 among 1046 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 18%, Grüne 17%, Die Linke 12%, AfD 9% and Volt 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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