Hamburg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 28.02.2025

Hamburg: Polling data

SPD
33.5
+1.5
CDU
18.0
-0.5
Grüne
16.5
-5.0
Linke
14.0
+8.0
AfD
9.0
+0.5
BSW
2.5
+0.5
FDP
2.5
-1.0
Others
4.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
±0.0
CDU
-1.8
Grüne
-2.0
Linke
+2.8
AfD
+1.5
BSW
+0.7
FDP
+0.2
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 800 respondents – 26.02.2025-28.02.2025

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Low number of respondents

Only 800 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 33.5%, CDU 18%, Grüne 16.5%, Die Linke 14%, AfD 9%, BSW 2.5% and FDP 2.5%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 54.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (26.02.2025 - 28.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
19
15.7%
SPD
44
36.4%
Grüne
22
18.2%
CDU
24
19.8%
AfD
12
9.9%
SPD + CDU
56.2%
SPD + Grüne
54.5%
SPD + Die Linke
52.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 26.02.2025 and 28.02.2025 among 800 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33.5%, CDU 18%, Grüne 16.5%, Die Linke 14%, AfD 9%, BSW 2.5% and FDP 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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