Hesse: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
38.0
+5.0
AfD
16.0
+6.0
SPD
15.0
-8.0
Grüne
14.0
±0.0
BSW
3.0
+3.0
FDP
3.0
-5.0
Linke
3.0
-4.0
Others
8.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
Forsa – 1003 respondents – 22.11.2024-11.12.2024
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 33% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates BSW lower
In 31% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Hesse - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hesse from Forsa shows the following results: CDU 38%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 3%, FDP 3% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 63.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.
The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (22.11.2024 - 11.12.2024).
Coalition possibilities
110
Majority requires 56 seats
SPD
20
18.2%
Grüne
19
17.3%
CDU
50
45.5%
AfD
21
19.1%
CDU + AfD
CDU + SPD
CDU + Grüne
CDU
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 22.11.2024 and 11.12.2024 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 38%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 3%, FDP 3% and Die Linke 3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.