Hesse: Poll by INSA from 18.03.2025

Hesse: Polling data

CDU
31.0
-1.0
AfD
19.0
+1.0
SPD
14.0
+1.0
Grüne
12.0
-1.0
Linke
9.0
+7.0
BSW
5.0
-3.0
FDP
3.0
-2.0
FW
2.0
-2.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CDU
New
AfD
+0.6
SPD
-1.1
Grüne
-2.8
Linke
+5.9
BSW
+5.0
FDP
-2.0
FW
-1.5
INSA – 1000 respondents – 11.03.2025-18.03.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 39% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hesse from INSA shows the following results: CDU 31%, AfD 19%, SPD 14%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 5%, FDP 3% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (11.03.2025 - 18.03.2025).

Coalition possibilities

110
Majority requires 56 seats
Linke
11
10%
SPD
17
15.5%
Grüne
15
13.6%
BSW
6
5.5%
CDU
38
34.5%
AfD
23
20.9%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
63.6%
CDU + AfD
55.5%
CDU + SPD + BSW
55.5%
CDU + Grüne + BSW
53.6%
CDU + SPD
50.0%
CDU + Die Linke + BSW
50.0%
CDU + Grüne
48.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 11.03.2025 and 18.03.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, AfD 19%, SPD 14%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 5%, FDP 3% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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