Hesse: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 04.05.2022

Polling data

CDU
28.0
+3.0
Grüne
24.5
+0.5
SPD
21.0
-3.0
FDP
8.0
±0.0
AfD
7.0
±0.0
Linke
3.5
-0.5
FW
2.0
-0.5
Sonst.
6.0
+0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1023 respondents – 29.04.2022-04.05.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the State election in Hessen from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24.5%, SPD 21%, FDP 8%, AfD 7%, Die Linke 3.5% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.7 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 55.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1023 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (29.04.2022 - 04.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

110
SPD
26
Grüne
30
FDP
10
CDU
35
AfD
9
Majority requires 56 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
65
CDU + SPD
61
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
56
CDU + FDP + AfD

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 29.04.2022 and 04.05.2022 among 1023 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24.5%, SPD 21%, FDP 8%, AfD 7%, Die Linke 3.5% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.