Hesse
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
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Germany

Hesse: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 03.10.2023

Polling data

CDU
33.0
+2.5
Grüne
16.5
-1.5
SPD
16.0
±0.0
AfD
16.0
-1.5
FDP
5.5
+0.5
FW
4.5
+0.5
Linke
3.0
+0.5
Sonst.
5.5
-1.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CDU
-1.6
Grüne
+1.7
SPD
+0.9
AfD
-2.4
FDP
+0.5
FW
+1.0
Linke
-0.1
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1003 respondents – 30.09.2023-03.10.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the State election in Hessen from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 33%, Grüne 16.5%, SPD 16%, AfD 16%, FDP 5.5%, Freie Wähler 4.5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 56.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.09.2023 - 03.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

110
SPD
20
Grüne
21
FDP
7
CDU
42
AfD
20
Majority requires 56 seats
CDU + Grüne
63
CDU + SPD
62
CDU + AfD
62

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 30.09.2023 and 03.10.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, Grüne 16.5%, SPD 16%, AfD 16%, FDP 5.5%, Freie Wähler 4.5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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