Hesse
Election trend
Parties

Hesse: Poll by INSA from 22.10.2018

Polling data

CDU
26.0
-3.0
Grüne
21.0
+7.0
SPD
21.0
-3.0
AfD
13.0
-1.0
Linke
8.0
±0.0
FDP
7.0
±0.0
FW
2.0
+0.5
Sonst.
2.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CDU
-8.6
Grüne
+6.2
SPD
+5.9
AfD
-5.4
Linke
+4.9
FDP
+2.0
FW
-1.5
INSA – 1004 respondents – 18.10.2018-22.10.2018
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the State election in Hessen from INSA shows the following results: CDU 26%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 21%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 8%, FDP 7% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 49.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (18.10.2018 - 22.10.2018).

Coalition possibilities

110
Linke
9
SPD
24
Grüne
24
FDP
8
CDU
30
AfD
15
Majority requires 56 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
78
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
62
CDU + SPD + FDP
62
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
57
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
56
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
54
CDU + SPD
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 18.10.2018 and 22.10.2018 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 26%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 21%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 8%, FDP 7% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.