Hesse
Election trend
Parties

Hesse: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 25.10.2018

Polling data

CDU
28.0
+2.0
Grüne
20.0
-2.0
SPD
20.0
±0.0
AfD
12.0
±0.0
FDP
8.0
±0.0
Linke
8.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CDU
-6.6
Grüne
+5.2
SPD
+4.9
AfD
-6.4
FDP
+3.0
Linke
+4.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1205 respondents – 24.10.2018-25.10.2018
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Hesse is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hesse - The latest poll for the State election in Hessen from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 20%, AfD 12%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 8%. If an election were held in Hesse this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Boris Rhein is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1205 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (24.10.2018 - 25.10.2018).

Coalition possibilities

110
Linke
9
SPD
23
Grüne
23
FDP
9
CDU
32
AfD
14
Majority requires 56 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
78
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
64
CDU + SPD + FDP
64
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
55
CDU + SPD
55
CDU + AfD + FDP
55
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
55
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 24.10.2018 and 25.10.2018 among 1205 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 20%, AfD 12%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.