Current Election Trend for Hungary
Who is leading in the election trend in Hungary?
In the current election trend in Hungary, Fidesz/KDNP leads with 39.1%. This is a significant loss of -14.0 percentage points since the last election.
Demokratikus Koalíció reaches 17.4%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Mi Hazánk lands at 8.1% and gains +1.9 percentage points since the last election.
Momentum reaches 7.3%. This is a significant increase of +6.2 percentage points since the last election.
MKKP lands at 7.1% and gains +3.8 percentage points since the last election.
MSZP (4.1%), Jobbik (2.4%), LMP (2.4%), Párbeszéd (1.9%) and NP (1.4%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.
8.8% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Republikon Intézet, IDEA Intézet, Medián and Závecz, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.
Therefore, the will of at least 4500 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Fidesz/KDNP, Demokratikus Koalíció, Mi Hazánk, Momentum and MKKP reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament
Latest polls for Hungary
What is the latest poll for Hungary?
Coalitions
Which coalitions are currently possible in Hungary?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Hungary shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fidesz/KDNP |
-4.5
|
±0.0
|
-6.6
|
-10.4
|
-10.2
|
Demokratikus Koalíció |
+1.3
|
±0.0
|
+2.6
|
+1.6
|
+12.0
|
Mi Hazánk |
-0.9
|
±0.0
|
-1.7
|
-1.2
|
+8.1
|
Momentum |
-0.5
|
±0.0
|
+0.4
|
+0.7
|
+4.2
|
MKKP |
-0.4
|
±0.0
|
+0.8
|
-1.1
|
+5.4
|
MSZP |
+1.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.3
|
+1.4
|
+4.1
|
Jobbik |
-1.0
|
±0.0
|
-2.2
|
-0.7
|
-16.7
|
LMP |
+0.3
|
±0.0
|
+0.5
|
-0.1
|
-4.7
|
Párbeszéd |
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
+1.0
|
+0.8
|
+1.9
|
NP |
-0.1
|
±0.0
|
-2.7
|
±0.0
|
+1.4
|
Hungary — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Hungary?
In the parliament of Hungary, there are 199 representatives from 4 parties. 135 representatives are part of the government from Fidesz/KDNP. The opposition from EM, Mi Hazánk and Sonstige Parteien has 64 representatives.
0 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 142 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Hungary?
Parliamentary election in Hungary 2026
The Parliamentary election in Hungary 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
The country is lead by a Right-wing coalition of Fidesz/KDNP. In the last Parliamentary election in Hungary in 2022, Fidesz/KDNP (53.1% - 135 seats), EM (35% - 56 seats), Mi Hazánk (6.2% - 7 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (0.6% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was %.