Current election polls and polling data from IDEA Intézet

Latest voting intention survey by IDEA Intézet for Hungary

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Hungary conducted by IDEA Intézet, the parties received the following results: TISZA 43%, Fidesz/KDNP 37%, Mi Hazánk 6%, Demokratikus Koalíció 5%, MKKP 3%, NP 2%, 2RK 1%, MMM 1% and Momentum 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1500 people during the period 06.12.2024 - 06.12.2024.
1500 participants
29.11.2024 - 06.12.2024
IDEA Intézet
TISZA
43.0
+2.0
Fidesz
37.0
-1.0
MH
6.0
-1.0
DK
5.0
-1.0
MKKP
3.0
±0.0
NP
2.0
±0.0
2RK
1.0
±0.0
MMM
1.0
+1.0
MM
1.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
±0.0

Seats in parliament

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
11
5.5%
TISZA
94
47.2%
Fidesz
81
40.7%
MH
13
6.5%
TISZA + Fidesz/KDNP
87.9%
TISZA + Demokratikus Koalíció
52.8%
TISZA
47.2%

29

PolitPro Score

IDEA Intézet achieves a score of 29/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
2RK
Not enough data available
DK
3
37
60
Fidesz
58
34
8
MH
3
78
18
MKKP
13
65
22
MM
6
73
21
MMM
0
100
0
NP
11
56
33
TISZA
0
29
71

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

5.4

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in IDEA Intézet pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 5.4 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
5.43
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2022 4/7

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.