Current election polls and polling data from Iránytű Intézet

Latest voting intention survey by Iránytű Intézet for countries.HU

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in countries.HU conducted by Iránytű Intézet, the parties received the following results: TISZA 44%, Fidesz/KDNP 39%, Mi Hazánk 6%, Demokratikus Koalíció 4% and MKKP 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 6600 people during the period 28.02.2025 - 28.02.2025.
6600 participants
01.12.2024 - 28.02.2025
Iránytű Intézet
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
TISZA
44.0
+18.0
Fidesz
39.0
-11.0
MH
6.0
+3.0
DK
4.0
-6.0
MKKP
4.0
±0.0
Others
3.0
-4.0

Seats in parliament

199
Majority requires 100 seats
TISZA
99
49.7%
Fidesz
87
43.7%
MH
13
6.5%
TISZA + Fidesz/KDNP
93.5%
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
50.3%
TISZA
49.7%

?

PolitPro Score

Iránytű Intézet achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DK
20
60
20
Fidesz
60
20
20
MH
Not enough data available
MKKP
Not enough data available
TISZA
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

3.4

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Iránytű Intézet pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.4 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
3.36
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2018 6/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.