Current election polls and polling data from Publicus

Latest voting intention survey by Publicus for Hungary

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Hungary conducted by Publicus, the parties received the following results: TISZA 41%, Fidesz/KDNP 39%, Demokratikus Koalíció 9%, Mi Hazánk 5%, MKKP 2% and MSZP 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 11.03.2025 - 11.03.2025.
1000 participants
05.03.2025 - 11.03.2025
Publicus
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
TISZA
41.0
-1.0
Fidesz
39.0
+2.0
DK
9.0
±0.0
MH
5.0
±0.0
MKKP
2.0
-1.0
MSZP
2.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
±0.0

Seats in parliament

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
19
9.5%
TISZA
87
43.7%
Fidesz
83
41.7%
MH
10
5%
TISZA + Fidesz/KDNP
85.4%
TISZA + Demokratikus Koalíció
53.3%
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
46.7%

12

PolitPro Score

Publicus achieves a score of 12/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DK
39
28
33
Fidesz
59
27
14
MH
38
62
0
MKKP
33
67
0
MSZP
0
36
64
TISZA
0
50
50

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

7.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Publicus pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 7.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
7.1
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2022 6/7

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.