Latest polls from Publicus Research
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower
In 67% of election polls Publicus Research rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower
In 60% of election polls Publicus Research rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Jobbik higher
In 36% of election polls, Publicus Research rates Jobbik higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates MKKP higher
In 32% of election polls, Publicus Research rates MKKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Momentum higher
In 36% of election polls, Publicus Research rates Momentum higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Publicus Research pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Publicus Research's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction