Current election polls and polling data from Publicus Research

Latest voting intention survey by Publicus Research for Hungary

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Hungary conducted by Publicus Research, the parties received the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 50%, Demokratikus Koalíció 16%, MSZP-P 12%, Momentum 11%, Jobbik 8%, MKKP 2%, LMP 1% and Mi Hazánk 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 998 people during the period 22.05.2020 - 22.05.2020.
998 participants
18.05.2020 - 22.05.2020
Publicus Research
Fidesz
50.0
-1.0
DK
16.0
+3.0
MSZP-P
12.0
+1.0
MM
11.0
+1.0
J
8.0
-2.0
MKKP
2.0
±0.0
LMP
1.0
-1.0
MH
1.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
33
16.6%
MSZP-P
24
12.1%
MM
22
11.1%
J
16
8%
Fidesz
104
52.3%
Fidesz/KDNP
52.3%
Demokratikus Koalíció + MSZP-P + Jobbik
36.7%
Demokratikus Koalíció + Momentum + Jobbik
35.7%

67

PolitPro Score

Publicus Research achieves a score of 67/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
DK
67
29
4
Fidesz
60
40
0
J
8
56
36
LMP
8
92
0
MH
23
77
0
MKKP
12
56
32
MM
16
48
36
MSZP-P
0
0
100

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.4

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Publicus Research pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.43
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2018 2/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.