Latest voting intention survey by Századvég for Hungary
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Hungary conducted by Századvég, the parties received the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 42%, TISZA 34%, Mi Hazánk 7%, MKKP 7%, Demokratikus Koalíció 5%, Momentum 3% and MSZP 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 13.12.2024 - 13.12.2024.
1000 participants
01.12.2024 - 13.12.2024
Századvég
Fidesz
42.0
+2.0
TISZA
34.0
-1.0
MH
7.0
±0.0
MKKP
7.0
-2.0
DK
5.0
±0.0
MM
3.0
+1.0
MSZP
1.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
10
5%
MKKP
14
7%
TISZA
72
36.2%
Fidesz
89
44.7%
MH
14
7%
Fidesz/KDNP + TISZA
Fidesz/KDNP + MKKP
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
36
PolitPro Score
Századvég achieves a score of 36/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
4.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Századvég pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 4.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
4.15
|
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2022 | 3/7 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.