Current election polls and polling data from Závecz

Latest voting intention survey by Závecz for Hungary

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Hungary conducted by Závecz, the parties received the following results: TISZA 39%, Fidesz/KDNP 35%, Mi Hazánk 7%, Demokratikus Koalíció 6%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 3%, MSZP 2%, 2RK 1%, MMM 1% and Párbeszéd 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 30.11.2024 - 30.11.2024.
1000 participants
20.11.2024 - 30.11.2024
Závecz
TISZA
39.0
+4.0
Fidesz
35.0
-4.0
MH
7.0
+2.0
DK
6.0
-1.0
MKKP
4.0
±0.0
MM
3.0
±0.0
MSZP
2.0
±0.0
2RK
1.0
±0.0
MMM
1.0
+1.0
P
1.0
+1.0
Others
1.0
-3.0

Seats in parliament

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
13
6.5%
TISZA
90
45.2%
Fidesz
80
40.2%
MH
16
8%
TISZA + Fidesz/KDNP
85.4%
TISZA + Demokratikus Koalíció
51.8%
TISZA
45.2%

26

PolitPro Score

Závecz achieves a score of 26/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
2RK
Not enough data available
DK
0
43
57
Fidesz
28
44
28
MH
9
75
16
MKKP
35
61
3
MM
40
53
7
MMM
Not enough data available
MSZP
0
87
13
P
0
89
11
TISZA
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

5.8

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Závecz pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 5.8 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
5.77
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2022 5/7

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.