Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in Hungary (Alapjogokért Központ, November 13, 2025)

November 10, 2025 - November 13, 2025

1000 respondents

Next General election in Hungary: April 12, 2026

The next General election in Hungary takes place in 55 days.

Hungary Government Majority Currently Uncertain

Based on the Alapjogokért Központ projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 51.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Alapjogokért Központ?

A recent opinion poll for the Hungarian election, conducted by Alapjogokért Központ on November 13, 2025, shows Fidesz/KDNP leading with 48%. Trailing are TISZA: 41%, Mi Hazánk: 5%, Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt: 4% and Demokratikus Koalíció: 2%.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Alapjogokért Központ Projection?

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PolitPro Score

Alapjogokért Központ achieved a PolitPro Score of ? out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, Alapjogokért Központ's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Hungarian election is 5%.

Fidesz/KDNP
Right
55.8%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Závecz)

According to Závecz data, 4 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Hungary's parliament: Fidesz/KDNP with 111 representatives, Demokratikus Koalíció with 47 representatives, Mi Hazánk with 24 representatives and Momentum with 17 representatives.

Hungary's Electoral System

Hungary's Parliament, the Országgyűlés, comprises 199 members elected through a mixed-member electoral system. Of these, 106 representatives are directly elected in single-member constituencies by simple majority. The remaining 93 seats are allocated via national party-lists under a proportional representation framework. A distinctive feature is the 'compensatory vote' system: votes cast for losing candidates in constituencies, along with surplus votes for winning candidates, are reallocated to their respective national party lists. This mechanism can significantly bolster the representation of the strongest parties in Parliament.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Hungarian Parliament via the national list, individual parties must clear a 5% electoral threshold. This threshold rises to 10% for two-party alliances and 15% for coalitions of three or more parties. This regulation aims to prevent parliamentary fragmentation. The 106 directly elected seats in single-member constituencies are exempt from this threshold, as candidates secure victory by simple majority. Additionally, recognized national minorities can gain parliamentary representation through special preferential mandates, subject to reduced vote thresholds.

Government Formation and Traditions

Hungary's electoral system frequently facilitates the formation of governments by a single party or a cohesive bloc, often securing a stable absolute or even a two-thirds constitutional majority. The Parliament elects the Prime Minister, nominated by the President of the Republic. Given the Prime Minister's robust position and often clear majorities, traditional, protracted coalition negotiations play a less significant role in Hungarian politics compared to many other European nations. While the government is accountable to Parliament, it can only be removed through a constructive vote of no confidence.

Data Sources and Methodology

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