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Hungary Real-PR 93: election poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary from 3 December 2025

Strongest Force
11.0 points ahead of TISZA
Government Majority
No Majority
81 of 199 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2030
estimated

Voting intention poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Real-PR 93: single poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary, fieldwork ended 3 December 2025.

Changes since the last election on 3 April 2022

49.0
-4.1
38.0
+38.0
MH
7.0
+0.8
3.0
-0.3
DK
2.0
+2.0
Other
1.0
Institute
Real-PR 93
Client
N/A
Survey Period
01/12/2025 – 03/12/2025
Respondents
1,000
Current government in Hungary falls short of a majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 40.7% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Real-PR 93?

A recent voting intention poll for Hungary by Real-PR 93 shows Fidesz/KDNP leading with 49%, followed by TISZA with 38%, Mi Hazánk with 7%, Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt with 3% and Demokratikus Koalíció with 2%. Other parties achieve 1% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Real-PR 93: how reliable is the projection?

61 PolitPro Score Rank 4 of 12 in Hungary
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 58.8
Avg. deviation in elections
1.9 pp

1 election comparisons

Recorded polls
6

Last on 3 December 2025

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
100
0 199
Majority 100

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

Real-PR 93: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 3 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter the parliament of Hungary: Fidesz/KDNP with 104 seats, TISZA with 81 seats and Mi Hazánk with 14 seats.

Hungary's Electoral System Explained

The Hungarian Parliament (Országgyűlés) consists of 199 representatives, elected through a combined system of majoritarian and proportional representation. 106 representatives are directly elected in single-member constituencies based on the majoritarian principle. The remaining 93 seats are allocated via national party lists using proportional representation. A unique feature is the 'fragmented votes' system (Bruchstimmen): votes that did not contribute to the winner's election in a constituency, as well as the winner's surplus votes, are reallocated to the respective party's national list, which can further bolster the strongest political forces in parliament.

Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

For entry into the Hungarian Parliament via the national list, an electoral threshold of 5% applies to individual parties. For electoral alliances of two parties, this threshold increases to 10%, and for alliances of three or more parties, to 15%. This regulation aims to prevent fragmentation of Parliament. The 106 direct mandates in the constituencies are not affected by this threshold, as the candidate with a simple majority wins there. Additionally, recognized national minorities have the opportunity to enter Parliament via special preferential mandates with reduced vote thresholds.

Government formation and coalition traditions

Government formation in Hungary is structured by the electoral system so that a single party or a stable bloc often achieves a stable absolute or even a two-thirds majority (constitutional majority). The Prime Minister is elected by Parliament upon the President's nomination. Due to the strong position of the Prime Minister and the often clear majority constellations, traditional, lengthy coalition negotiations play a lesser role in Hungarian politics than in many other European states. The government is accountable to Parliament but can only be overthrown by a constructive vote of no confidence.

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