Hungary: Poll by IDEA Intézet from 31.03.2021

Hungary: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Fidesz
44.0
±0.0
DK
17.0
±0.0
J
14.0
+3.0
MM
10.0
±0.0
MSZP
5.0
-1.0
MKKP
3.0
±0.0
MH
3.0
±0.0
P
2.0
-1.0
LMP
1.0
-1.0
Others
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-9.1
DK
New
J
New
MM
+8.9
MSZP
New
MKKP
-0.3
MH
-3.2
P
New
LMP
New
IDEA Intézet – 2000 respondents – 26.03.2021-31.03.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher

In 60% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 58% of election polls IDEA Intézet rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MSZP lower

In 36% of election polls IDEA Intézet rates MSZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from IDEA Intézet shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 44%, Demokratikus Koalíció 17%, Jobbik 14%, Momentum 10%, MSZP 5%, MKKP 3%, Mi Hazánk 3%, Párbeszéd 2% and LMP 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 49.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IDEA Intézet. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (26.03.2021 - 31.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
37
18.6%
MSZP
11
5.5%
MM
22
11.1%
J
31
15.6%
Fidesz
98
49.2%
Fidesz/KDNP + Jobbik
64.8%
Fidesz/KDNP + Momentum
60.3%
Demokratikus Koalíció + Jobbik + Momentum + MSZP
50.8%
Fidesz/KDNP
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by IDEA Intézet. The survey took place between 26.03.2021 and 31.03.2021 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 44%, Demokratikus Koalíció 17%, Jobbik 14%, Momentum 10%, MSZP 5%, MKKP 3%, Mi Hazánk 3%, Párbeszéd 2% and LMP 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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