Hungary: Poll by Publicus from 04.10.2021

Polling data

Fidesz
44.0
±0.0
DK
14.0
+2.0
MSZP
10.0
±0.0
J
7.0
-4.0
MM
6.0
-2.0
LMP
1.0
-1.0
MKKP
1.0
±0.0
MH
1.0
±0.0
Others
16.0
+5.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-9.1
DK
New
MSZP
New
J
New
MM
+4.9
LMP
New
MKKP
-2.3
MH
-5.2
Publicus – 1004 respondents – 02.10.2021-04.10.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower

In 47% of election polls Publicus rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 53% of election polls Publicus rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Mi Hazánk lower

In 39% of election polls Publicus rates Mi Hazánk lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MKKP lower

In 33% of election polls Publicus rates MKKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MSZP higher

In 75% of election polls, Publicus rates MSZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary from Publicus shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 44%, Demokratikus Koalíció 14%, MSZP 10%, Jobbik 7%, Momentum 6%, LMP 1%, MKKP 1% and Mi Hazánk 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 54.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Publicus. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (02.10.2021 - 04.10.2021).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
35
17.3%
MSZP
24
12.3%
MM
14
7.4%
J
17
8.6%
Fidesz
109
54.3%
Fidesz/KDNP
54.8%
Demokratikus Koalíció + MSZP + Jobbik + Momentum
45.2%
Demokratikus Koalíció + MSZP + Momentum
36.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by Publicus. The survey took place between 02.10.2021 and 04.10.2021 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 44%, Demokratikus Koalíció 14%, MSZP 10%, Jobbik 7%, Momentum 6%, LMP 1%, MKKP 1% and Mi Hazánk 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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