countries.HU: Poll by IDEA Intézet from 09.10.2021

countries.HU: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Fidesz
46.0
-2.0
DK
18.0
+2.0
J
11.0
-2.0
MM
9.0
+2.0
MSZP
5.0
±0.0
MKKP
3.0
±0.0
MH
3.0
±0.0
LMP
2.0
±0.0
P
2.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
±0.0
IDEA Intézet – 2000 respondents – 30.09.2021-09.10.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in countries.HU is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher

In 60% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 58% of election polls IDEA Intézet rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MSZP lower

In 36% of election polls IDEA Intézet rates MSZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

countries.HU - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from IDEA Intézet shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 46%, Demokratikus Koalíció 18%, Jobbik 11%, Momentum 9%, MSZP 5%, MKKP 3%, Mi Hazánk 3%, LMP 2% and Párbeszéd 2%. If an election were held in countries.HU this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 52.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IDEA Intézet. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (30.09.2021 - 09.10.2021).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
40
20.1%
MSZP
11
5.5%
MM
20
10.1%
J
24
12.1%
Fidesz
104
52.3%
Fidesz/KDNP
52.3%
Demokratikus Koalíció + Jobbik + Momentum + MSZP
47.7%
Demokratikus Koalíció + Jobbik + MSZP
37.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by IDEA Intézet. The survey took place between 30.09.2021 and 09.10.2021 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 46%, Demokratikus Koalíció 18%, Jobbik 11%, Momentum 9%, MSZP 5%, MKKP 3%, Mi Hazánk 3%, LMP 2% and Párbeszéd 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.