Hungary: Poll by Medián from 27.09.2023

Hungary: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Fidesz
46.0
-5.0
DK
12.0
-2.0
MH
10.0
+4.0
MKKP
7.0
+1.0
MM
6.0
-3.0
J
5.0
±0.0
NP
5.0
+5.0
MMM
3.0
+1.0
MSZP
2.0
+1.0
LMP
1.0
-1.0
P
1.0
-1.0
Others
2.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-7.1
DK
New
MH
+3.8
MKKP
+3.7
MM
+4.9
J
New
NP
New
MMM
New
MSZP
New
LMP
New
P
New
Medián – 1000 respondents – 22.09.2023-27.09.2023

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher

In 31% of election polls, Medián rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP higher

In 62% of election polls, Medián rates Fidesz/KDNP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LMP lower

In 32% of election polls Medián rates LMP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MSZP lower

In 41% of election polls Medián rates MSZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from Medián shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 46%, Demokratikus Koalíció 12%, Mi Hazánk 10%, MKKP 7%, Momentum 6%, Jobbik 5%, NP 5%, MMM 3%, MSZP 2%, LMP 1% and Párbeszéd 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 50.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Medián. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (22.09.2023 - 27.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
26
13.1%
NP
11
5.5%
MKKP
15
7.5%
MM
13
6.5%
J
11
5.5%
Fidesz
101
50.8%
MH
22
11.1%
Fidesz/KDNP
50.8%
Demokratikus Koalíció + MKKP + Momentum + Jobbik + NP
38.2%
Demokratikus Koalíció + MKKP + Momentum + NP
32.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by Medián. The survey took place between 22.09.2023 and 27.09.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 46%, Demokratikus Koalíció 12%, Mi Hazánk 10%, MKKP 7%, Momentum 6%, Jobbik 5%, NP 5%, MMM 3%, MSZP 2%, LMP 1% and Párbeszéd 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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