Hungary
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Hungary: Poll by Medián from 29.05.2024

Polling data

Fidesz
48.0
±0.0
TISZA
29.0
±0.0
DK/MSZP/P
7.0
±0.0
MH
6.0
±0.0
MM
5.0
±0.0
MKKP
2.0
±0.0
2RK
1.0
±0.0
J
1.0
±0.0
MMM
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-5.1
TISZA
New
DK/MSZP/P
New
MH
-0.2
MM
+3.9
MKKP
-1.3
2RK
New
J
New
MMM
New
Medián – 1000 respondents – 27.05.2024-29.05.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP higher

In 72% of election polls, Medián rates Fidesz/KDNP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary from Medián shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 48%, TISZA 29%, DK/MSZP/P 7%, Mi Hazánk 6%, Momentum 5%, MKKP 2%, 2RK 1%, Jobbik 1% and MMM 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 48.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Medián. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.05.2024 - 29.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
2RK
1
DK/MSZP/P
7
MM
5
MKKP
2
TISZA
28
Fidesz
47
MH
6
Majority requires 49 seats
Fidesz/KDNP + TISZA
75
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
53
Fidesz/KDNP + Momentum
52
Fidesz/KDNP
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Medián. The survey took place between 27.05.2024 and 29.05.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 48%, TISZA 29%, DK/MSZP/P 7%, Mi Hazánk 6%, Momentum 5%, MKKP 2%, 2RK 1%, Jobbik 1% and MMM 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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