Hungary
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Hungary: Poll by Publicus from 05.06.2024

Polling data

Fidesz
43.0
+1.0
TISZA
25.0
+2.0
DK/MSZP/P
15.0
-9.0
MH
5.0
+1.0
MKKP
4.0
+2.0
MM
4.0
+1.0
J
2.0
+1.0
LMP
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
1.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-10.1
TISZA
New
DK/MSZP/P
New
MH
-1.2
MKKP
+0.7
MM
+2.9
J
New
LMP
New
Publicus – 1001 respondents – 03.06.2024-05.06.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 47% of election polls Publicus rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Mi Hazánk lower

In 31% of election polls Publicus rates Mi Hazánk lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MKKP lower

In 31% of election polls Publicus rates MKKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Momentum lower

In 31% of election polls Publicus rates Momentum lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary from Publicus shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 43%, TISZA 25%, DK/MSZP/P 15%, Mi Hazánk 5%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 4%, Jobbik 2% and LMP 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 43.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Publicus. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (03.06.2024 - 05.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
DK/MSZP/P
15
MKKP
4
MM
4
TISZA
25
J
1
Fidesz
42
MH
5
Majority requires 49 seats
Fidesz/KDNP + TISZA
67
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk + Momentum
51
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk + MKKP
51
Fidesz/KDNP + Momentum + MKKP
50
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Publicus. The survey took place between 03.06.2024 and 05.06.2024 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 43%, TISZA 25%, DK/MSZP/P 15%, Mi Hazánk 5%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 4%, Jobbik 2% and LMP 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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