Hungary: Poll by Medián from 10.07.2024

Polling data

Fidesz
42.8
-3.2
TISZA
30.7
+30.7
DK/MSZP/P
9.2
+9.2
MH
7.1
-0.9
MKKP
4.6
-6.4
MM
2.8
-5.2
J
0.8
-2.2
LMP
0.7
-0.3
MMM
0.7
-2.3
2RK
0.5
-2.5
Others
0.1
-16.9
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-10.3
TISZA
New
DK/MSZP/P
New
MH
+0.9
MKKP
+1.3
MM
+1.7
J
New
LMP
New
MMM
New
2RK
New
Medián – 1000 respondents – 04.07.2024-10.07.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP higher

In 64% of election polls, Medián rates Fidesz/KDNP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates LMP lower

In 32% of election polls Medián rates LMP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from Medián shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 42.8%, TISZA 30.7%, DK/MSZP/P 9.2%, Mi Hazánk 7.1%, MKKP 4.6%, Momentum 2.8%, Jobbik 0.8%, LMP 0.7%, MMM 0.7% and 2RK 0.5%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 48.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Medián. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (04.07.2024 - 10.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK/MSZP/P
20
10.1%
TISZA
68
34.2%
Fidesz
96
48.2%
MH
15
7.5%
Fidesz/KDNP + TISZA
82.4%
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
55.8%
Fidesz/KDNP
48.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by Medián. The survey took place between 04.07.2024 and 10.07.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 42.8%, TISZA 30.7%, DK/MSZP/P 9.2%, Mi Hazánk 7.1%, MKKP 4.6%, Momentum 2.8%, Jobbik 0.8%, LMP 0.7%, MMM 0.7% and 2RK 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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