Hungary: Poll by IDEA Intézet from 07.10.2024

Hungary: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Fidesz
39.0
±0.0
TISZA
37.0
+3.0
DK
7.0
-1.0
MH
7.0
±0.0
MKKP
4.0
+1.0
MM
2.0
±0.0
2RK
1.0
±0.0
MMM
1.0
+1.0
NP
1.0
-1.0
Others
1.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-14.1
TISZA
New
DK
New
MH
+0.8
MKKP
+0.7
MM
+0.9
2RK
New
MMM
New
NP
New
IDEA Intézet – 1500 respondents – 27.09.2024-07.10.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher

In 60% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 58% of election polls IDEA Intézet rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NP higher

In 33% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates NP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TISZA higher

In 71% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates TISZA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from IDEA Intézet shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 39%, TISZA 37%, Demokratikus Koalíció 7%, Mi Hazánk 7%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 2%, 2RK 1%, MMM 1% and NP 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 43.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IDEA Intézet. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (27.09.2024 - 07.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
15
7.5%
TISZA
82
41.2%
Fidesz
87
43.7%
MH
15
7.5%
Fidesz/KDNP + TISZA
84.9%
Fidesz/KDNP + Mi Hazánk
51.3%
TISZA + Demokratikus Koalíció
48.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by IDEA Intézet. The survey took place between 27.09.2024 and 07.10.2024 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 39%, TISZA 37%, Demokratikus Koalíció 7%, Mi Hazánk 7%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 2%, 2RK 1%, MMM 1% and NP 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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