Hungary: Poll by IDEA Intézet from 23.05.2025

Hungary: Polling data

TISZA
44.0
+1.0
Fidesz
37.0
±0.0
DK
6.0
+1.0
MH
5.0
-1.0
MKKP
4.0
+1.0
2RK
1.0
±0.0
MM
1.0
±0.0
NP
1.0
-1.0
Others
1.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
TISZA
New
Fidesz
-16.1
DK
New
MH
-1.2
MKKP
+0.7
2RK
New
MM
-0.1
NP
New
IDEA Intézet – 1500 respondents – 15.05.2025-23.05.2025

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher

In 59% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates Demokratikus Koalíció higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 57% of election polls IDEA Intézet rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NP higher

In 33% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates NP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates TISZA higher

In 63% of election polls, IDEA Intézet rates TISZA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from IDEA Intézet shows the following results: TISZA 44%, Fidesz/KDNP 37%, Demokratikus Koalíció 6%, Mi Hazánk 5%, MKKP 4%, 2RK 1%, Momentum 1% and NP 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, MKKP might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.7 growth since the last election. TISZA, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 40.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IDEA Intézet. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (15.05.2025 - 23.05.2025).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
13
6.5%
TISZA
96
48.2%
Fidesz
80
40.2%
MH
10
5%
TISZA + Fidesz/KDNP
88.4%
TISZA + Demokratikus Koalíció
54.8%
TISZA
48.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by IDEA Intézet. The survey took place between 15.05.2025 and 23.05.2025 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get TISZA 44%, Fidesz/KDNP 37%, Demokratikus Koalíció 6%, Mi Hazánk 5%, MKKP 4%, 2RK 1%, Momentum 1% and NP 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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