Hungary: Poll by Publicus Research from 03.04.2018

Hungary: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Fidesz
45.0
-4.0
J
20.0
+3.0
MSZP
19.0
+1.0
LMP
7.0
-1.0
DK
5.0
±0.0
MM
2.0
+1.0
Others
2.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
Fidesz
-8.1
J
New
MSZP
New
LMP
New
DK
New
MM
+0.9
Publicus Research – 1006 respondents – 28.03.2018-03.04.2018

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower

In 67% of election polls Publicus Research rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 60% of election polls Publicus Research rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Jobbik higher

In 36% of election polls, Publicus Research rates Jobbik higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MKKP higher

In 32% of election polls, Publicus Research rates MKKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Momentum higher

In 36% of election polls, Publicus Research rates Momentum higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hungary from Publicus Research shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 45%, Jobbik 20%, MSZP 19%, LMP 7%, Demokratikus Koalíció 5%, Momentum 2%, MKKP 0%, Együtt 0% and MLP 0%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 47.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Publicus Research. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (28.03.2018 - 03.04.2018).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
MSZP
39
19.6%
DK
10
5%
LMP
14
7%
J
42
21.1%
Fidesz
94
47.2%
Fidesz/KDNP + Jobbik
68.3%
Fidesz/KDNP + LMP
54.3%
Jobbik + MSZP + LMP + Demokratikus Koalíció
52.8%
Fidesz/KDNP
47.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by Publicus Research. The survey took place between 28.03.2018 and 03.04.2018 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 45%, Jobbik 20%, MSZP 19%, LMP 7%, Demokratikus Koalíció 5%, Momentum 2%, MKKP 0%, Együtt 0% and MLP 0%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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