Hungary: Poll by Publicus Research from 20.12.2019

Polling data

Fidesz
47.0
-3.0
DK
12.0
±0.0
MM
12.0
±0.0
MSZP-P
11.0
+1.0
J
10.0
±0.0
MKKP
3.0
+1.0
LMP
2.0
±0.0
MH
1.0
-1.0
Others
2.0
+2.0
Publicus Research – 1002 respondents – 14.12.2019-20.12.2019

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower

In 67% of election polls Publicus Research rates Demokratikus Koalíció lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fidesz/KDNP lower

In 60% of election polls Publicus Research rates Fidesz/KDNP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Jobbik higher

In 36% of election polls, Publicus Research rates Jobbik higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MKKP higher

In 32% of election polls, Publicus Research rates MKKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Momentum higher

In 36% of election polls, Publicus Research rates Momentum higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MSZP-P higher

In 100% of election polls, Publicus Research rates MSZP-P higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary from Publicus Research shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 47%, Demokratikus Koalíció 12%, Momentum 12%, MSZP-P 11%, Jobbik 10%, MKKP 3%, LMP 2% and Mi Hazánk 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Publicus Research. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (14.12.2019 - 20.12.2019).

Coalition possibilities

199
Majority requires 100 seats
DK
26
13%
MSZP-P
24
12%
MM
26
13%
J
21
10.9%
Fidesz
102
51.1%
Fidesz/KDNP
51.3%
Demokratikus Koalíció + Momentum + Jobbik
36.7%
Demokratikus Koalíció + MSZP-P + Jobbik
35.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by Publicus Research. The survey took place between 14.12.2019 and 20.12.2019 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 47%, Demokratikus Koalíció 12%, Momentum 12%, MSZP-P 11%, Jobbik 10%, MKKP 3%, LMP 2% and Mi Hazánk 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.