Latest polls from Gallup
Accuracy in elections
On average, party poll results in Gallup pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Gallup's average ranking is 2.1.
2x the most accurate prediction
3x the second best prediction
3x the third best prediction
Rating of parties
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.