Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 30.09.2019

Iceland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
D
23.5
±0.0
S
16.1
±0.0
M
12.3
±0.0
V
12.0
±0.0
C
11.2
±0.0
P
9.7
±0.0
B
7.9
±0.0
F
4.3
±0.0
J
2.7
±0.0
Others
0.3
±0.0
Development since the last election on 30.11.2024
D
+4.1
S
-4.7
M
+0.2
V
+9.7
C
-4.7
P
+6.7
B
+0.1
F
-9.5
J
-1.3
Gallup – 3991 respondents – 01.09.2019-30.09.2019

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 23.5%, Samfylkingin 16.1%, Miðflokkurinn 12.3%, V 12%, Viðreisn 11.2%, Píratar 9.7%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 7.9%, Flokkur fólksins 4.3% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 2.7%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, V might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.7 growth since the last election. Flokkur fólksins, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Samfylkingin, Flokkur fólksins and Viðreisn. With 31.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 3991 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.09.2019 - 30.09.2019).

Coalition possibilities

63
Majority requires 32 seats
V
8
12.7%
S
11
17.5%
P
6
9.5%
F
2
3.2%
C
7
11.1%
D
16
25.4%
M
8
12.7%
B
5
7.9%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Píratar
58.7%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar
58.7%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
57.1%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
57.1%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + V
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn
54.0%
Samfylkingin + V + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
54.0%
V + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Píratar
52.4%
Samfylkingin + V + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Miðflokkurinn
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn
50.8%
Samfylkingin + V + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
50.8%
Samfylkingin + V + Viðreisn + Píratar
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn
49.2%
Samfylkingin + V + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 01.09.2019 and 30.09.2019 among 3991 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 23.5%, Samfylkingin 16.1%, Miðflokkurinn 12.3%, V 12%, Viðreisn 11.2%, Píratar 9.7%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 7.9%, Flokkur fólksins 4.3% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 2.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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