Iceland: Polling data
This poll is more than 3 months old.
D
20.9
-2.9
V
14.1
-0.9
S
13.7
+1.3
P
12.7
+1.1
C
12.3
±0.0
B
9.9
-1.5
J
6.3
+2.0
M
5.5
+0.5
F
4.2
±0.0
Others
0.4
+0.4
Development since the last election on 30.11.2024
Maskína – 879 respondents – 01.07.2021-31.07.2021
Next election: 2029
The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.
Low number of respondents
Only 879 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower
In 30% of election polls Maskína rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Viðreisn higher
In 30% of election polls, Maskína rates Viðreisn higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland from Maskína shows the following results: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 20.9%, V 14.1%, Samfylkingin 13.7%, Píratar 12.7%, Viðreisn 12.3%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 9.9%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 6.3%, Miðflokkurinn 5.5% and Flokkur fólksins 4.2%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, V might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.8 growth since the last election. Flokkur fólksins, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Samfylkingin, Flokkur fólksins and Viðreisn. With 30.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by Maskína. For this purpose, 879 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.07.2021 - 31.07.2021).
Coalition possibilities
63
Majority requires 32 seats
V
9
14.3%
J
4
6.3%
S
9
14.3%
P
8
12.7%
F
2
3.2%
C
8
12.7%
D
14
22.2%
B
6
9.5%
M
3
4.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar + Viðreisn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
V + Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn
V + Píratar + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Samfylkingin
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
V + Samfylkingin + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
V + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Píratar
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn
V + Píratar + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Maskína. The survey took place between 01.07.2021 and 31.07.2021 among 879 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 20.9%, V 14.1%, Samfylkingin 13.7%, Píratar 12.7%, Viðreisn 12.3%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 9.9%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 6.3%, Miðflokkurinn 5.5% and Flokkur fólksins 4.2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.