Iceland: Poll by Maskína from 23.08.2021

Iceland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
D
23.4
+2.5
V
14.2
+0.1
S
13.0
-0.7
B
12.6
+2.7
C
10.7
-1.6
P
9.9
-2.8
J
6.9
+0.6
M
5.1
-0.4
F
4.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 30.11.2024
D
+4.0
V
+11.9
S
-7.8
B
+4.8
C
-5.2
P
+6.9
J
+2.9
M
-7.0
F
-9.6
Maskína – 822 respondents – 13.08.2021-23.08.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.

Low number of respondents

Only 822 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower

In 30% of election polls Maskína rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Viðreisn higher

In 30% of election polls, Maskína rates Viðreisn higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland from Maskína shows the following results: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 23.4%, V 14.2%, Samfylkingin 13%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.6%, Viðreisn 10.7%, Píratar 9.9%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 6.9%, Miðflokkurinn 5.1% and Flokkur fólksins 4.2%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, V might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.9 growth since the last election. Flokkur fólksins, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Samfylkingin, Flokkur fólksins and Viðreisn. With 27.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Maskína. For this purpose, 822 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (13.08.2021 - 23.08.2021).

Coalition possibilities

63
Majority requires 32 seats
V
9
14.3%
J
4
6.3%
S
8
12.7%
P
6
9.5%
F
2
3.2%
C
7
11.1%
D
16
25.4%
B
8
12.7%
M
3
4.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Píratar
58.7%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar
58.7%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
54.0%
V + Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Framsóknarflokkurinn
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Samfylkingin
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
V + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
V + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn
50.8%
V + Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Miðflokkurinn
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Píratar
49.2%
V + Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Samfylkingin + Viðreisn
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Maskína. The survey took place between 13.08.2021 and 23.08.2021 among 822 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 23.4%, V 14.2%, Samfylkingin 13%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.6%, Viðreisn 10.7%, Píratar 9.9%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 6.9%, Miðflokkurinn 5.1% and Flokkur fólksins 4.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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