Iceland
Election trend
Parties

Iceland: Poll by MMR from 17.09.2021

Polling data

D
20.3
-2.0
S
13.0
+1.4
B
12.7
-2.3
V
12.1
+1.6
P
11.8
+1.9
C
10.7
-1.5
J
8.6
+1.9
F
5.6
+0.6
M
4.6
-1.4
Sonst.
0.6
-0.2
Development since the last election on 25.09.2021
D
-4.1
S
+3.1
B
-4.6
V
-0.5
P
+3.2
C
+2.4
J
+4.5
F
-3.2
M
-0.8
MMR – 1257 respondents – 15.09.2021-17.09.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Iceland from MMR shows the following results: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 20.3%, Samfylkingin 13%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.7%, V 12.1%, Píratar 11.8%, Viðreisn 10.7%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 8.6%, Flokkur fólksins 5.6% and Miðflokkurinn 4.6%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. Framsóknarflokkurinn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by MMR. For this purpose, 1257 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (15.09.2021 - 17.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

63
V
8
J
5
S
8
P
8
F
3
M
3
D
13
B
8
C
7
Majority requires 32 seats
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn
36
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
34
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
33
Samfylkingin + V + Píratar + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands + Flokkur fólksins
32
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Flokkur fólksins
32
Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands + Flokkur fólksins
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
31

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by MMR. The survey took place between 15.09.2021 and 17.09.2021 among 1257 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 20.3%, Samfylkingin 13%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.7%, V 12.1%, Píratar 11.8%, Viðreisn 10.7%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 8.6%, Flokkur fólksins 5.6% and Miðflokkurinn 4.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.