Iceland
Election trend
Parties

Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 30.11.2022

Polling data

D
24.1
±0.0
S
21.1
+4.8
B
12.2
-1.2
P
12.2
-1.4
V
7.5
-0.7
C
7.4
-1.1
M
5.6
+0.2
J
5.2
+0.1
F
4.5
-0.6
Sonst.
0.2
-0.1
Development since the last election on 25.09.2021
D
-0.3
S
+11.2
B
-5.1
P
+3.6
V
-5.1
C
-0.9
M
+0.2
J
+1.1
F
-4.3
Gallup – 5500 respondents – 01.11.2022-30.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 24.1%, Samfylkingin 21.1%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.2%, Píratar 12.2%, V 7.5%, Viðreisn 7.4%, Miðflokkurinn 5.6%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 5.2% and Flokkur fólksins 4.5%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Samfylkingin might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.2 growth since the last election. Framsóknarflokkurinn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 5500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.11.2022 - 30.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

63
V
5
J
3
S
14
P
8
F
2
M
3
D
16
B
8
C
4
Majority requires 32 seats
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Viðreisn
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
32
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
31

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 01.11.2022 and 30.11.2022 among 5500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 24.1%, Samfylkingin 21.1%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.2%, Píratar 12.2%, V 7.5%, Viðreisn 7.4%, Miðflokkurinn 5.6%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 5.2% and Flokkur fólksins 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.