Iceland
Election trend
Parties

Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 02.01.2023

Polling data

D
23.8
-0.3
S
23.4
+2.3
B
12.1
-0.1
P
11.3
-0.9
C
6.9
-0.5
V
6.8
-0.7
F
6.2
+1.7
M
4.6
-1.0
J
4.6
-0.6
Sonst.
0.3
+0.1
Development since the last election on 25.09.2021
D
-0.6
S
+13.5
B
-5.2
P
+2.7
C
-1.4
V
-5.8
F
-2.6
M
-0.8
J
+0.5
Gallup – 7115 respondents – 01.12.2022-02.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 23.8%, Samfylkingin 23.4%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.1%, Píratar 11.3%, Viðreisn 6.9%, V 6.8%, Flokkur fólksins 6.2%, Miðflokkurinn 4.6% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 4.6%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Samfylkingin might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.5 growth since the last election. V, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 7115 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 32 days (01.12.2022 - 02.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

63
V
4
J
3
S
15
P
7
F
4
M
3
D
15
B
8
C
4
Majority requires 32 seats
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + V + Flokkur fólksins
35
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + V + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
34
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
34
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Flokkur fólksins + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
34
Samfylkingin + Píratar + V + Flokkur fólksins + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + V
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + V + Flokkur fólksins
31

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 01.12.2022 and 02.01.2023 among 7115 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 23.8%, Samfylkingin 23.4%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.1%, Píratar 11.3%, Viðreisn 6.9%, V 6.8%, Flokkur fólksins 6.2%, Miðflokkurinn 4.6% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 4.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.