Iceland
Election trend
Parties

Iceland: Poll by Maskína from 18.01.2023

Polling data

S
23.6
+4.6
D
21.8
±0.0
B
12.1
-2.7
P
10.4
-3.0
C
9.1
+0.1
V
8.3
+1.2
M
5.9
+1.0
F
5.1
+0.1
J
3.6
-1.4
Sonst.
0.1
+0.1
Development since the last election on 25.09.2021
S
+13.7
D
-2.6
B
-5.2
P
+1.8
C
+0.8
V
-4.3
M
+0.5
F
-3.7
J
-0.5
Maskína – 804 respondents – 13.01.2023-18.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2025.
Low number of respondents
Only 804 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower
In 30% of election polls Maskína rates Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Viðreisn higher
In 35% of election polls, Maskína rates Viðreisn higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Iceland from Maskína shows the following results: Samfylkingin 23.6%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 21.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.1%, Píratar 10.4%, Viðreisn 9.1%, V 8.3%, Miðflokkurinn 5.9%, Flokkur fólksins 5.1% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 3.6%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Samfylkingin might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.7 growth since the last election. Framsóknarflokkurinn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Maskína. For this purpose, 804 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (13.01.2023 - 18.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

63
V
5
S
16
P
7
F
3
M
4
D
14
B
8
C
6
Majority requires 32 seats
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + V
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
32
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
31
Samfylkingin + Píratar + V + Flokkur fólksins
31

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Maskína. The survey took place between 13.01.2023 and 18.01.2023 among 804 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Samfylkingin 23.6%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 21.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 12.1%, Píratar 10.4%, Viðreisn 9.1%, V 8.3%, Miðflokkurinn 5.9%, Flokkur fólksins 5.1% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 3.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.