Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 28.04.2024

Iceland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
S
29.7
-1.2
D
18.0
-0.2
M
12.8
-0.1
B
8.8
+1.5
P
8.2
+0.4
C
7.5
+0.4
F
7.2
+1.0
V
4.4
-1.2
J
3.4
-0.5
Development since the last election on 30.11.2024
S
+8.9
D
-1.4
M
+0.7
B
+1.0
P
+5.2
C
-8.4
F
-6.6
V
+2.1
J
-0.6
Gallup – 4774 respondents – 03.04.2024-28.04.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Samfylkingin 29.7%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 18%, Miðflokkurinn 12.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 8.8%, Píratar 8.2%, Viðreisn 7.5%, Flokkur fólksins 7.2%, V 4.4% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 3.4%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Samfylkingin might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. Viðreisn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Samfylkingin, Flokkur fólksins and Viðreisn. With 45.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 4774 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (03.04.2024 - 28.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

63
Majority requires 32 seats
V
3
4.8%
S
20
31.7%
P
5
7.9%
F
4
6.3%
C
5
7.9%
D
12
19%
M
8
12.7%
B
6
9.5%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn
57.1%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn
57.1%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + V
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + V
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + V
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + V
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
54.0%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar
52.4%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins + V
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins + V
52.4%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn
52.4%
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn + V
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + V
52.4%
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins + V
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins + V
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + V
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + V
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + V
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + V
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 03.04.2024 and 28.04.2024 among 4774 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Samfylkingin 29.7%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 18%, Miðflokkurinn 12.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 8.8%, Píratar 8.2%, Viðreisn 7.5%, Flokkur fólksins 7.2%, V 4.4% and Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!