Iceland: Poll by Háskóli Íslands from 30.04.2024

Iceland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
S
25.4
±0.0
D
19.0
±0.0
M
13.4
±0.0
B
10.0
±0.0
P
8.1
±0.0
C
7.9
±0.0
F
7.3
±0.0
J
4.4
±0.0
V
4.3
±0.0
Others
0.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 30.11.2024
S
+4.6
D
-0.4
M
+1.3
B
+2.2
P
+5.1
C
-8.0
F
-6.5
J
+0.4
V
+2.0
Háskóli Íslands – 2638 respondents – 22.04.2024-30.04.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland from Háskóli Íslands shows the following results: Samfylkingin 25.4%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 19%, Miðflokkurinn 13.4%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 10%, Píratar 8.1%, Viðreisn 7.9%, Flokkur fólksins 7.3%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 4.4% and V 4.3%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Píratar might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.1 growth since the last election. Viðreisn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Samfylkingin, Flokkur fólksins and Viðreisn. With 41.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Háskóli Íslands. For this purpose, 2638 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (22.04.2024 - 30.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

63
Majority requires 32 seats
J
3
4.8%
V
2
3.2%
S
17
27%
P
5
7.9%
F
4
6.3%
C
5
7.9%
D
12
19%
M
9
14.3%
B
6
9.5%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
60.3%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn
57.1%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Píratar
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
52.4%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn
52.4%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
50.8%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn
49.2%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Viðreisn
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Háskóli Íslands. The survey took place between 22.04.2024 and 30.04.2024 among 2638 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Samfylkingin 25.4%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 19%, Miðflokkurinn 13.4%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 10%, Píratar 8.1%, Viðreisn 7.9%, Flokkur fólksins 7.3%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 4.4% and V 4.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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