Iceland
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Vorarlberg
Lithuania
Georgia
United States
Styria

Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 30.07.2024

Polling data

S
27.6
+0.7
D
17.2
-1.3
M
14.6
+0.1
C
8.8
-0.6
F
8.6
+0.9
P
7.8
-1.0
B
7.2
+0.6
J
4.7
+1.2
V
3.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 25.09.2021
S
+17.7
D
-7.2
M
+9.2
C
+0.5
F
-0.2
P
-0.8
B
-10.1
J
+0.6
V
-9.1
Gallup – 4721 respondents – 01.07.2024-30.07.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Samfylkingin 27.6%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 17.2%, Miðflokkurinn 14.6%, Viðreisn 8.8%, Flokkur fólksins 8.6%, Píratar 7.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 7.2%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 4.7% and V 3.5%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Samfylkingin might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.7 growth since the last election. Framsóknarflokkurinn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 4721 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (01.07.2024 - 30.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

63
J
3
S
19
F
5
P
5
C
6
D
11
M
10
B
4
Majority requires 32 seats
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
40
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
35
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn
36
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
35
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + Píratar
35
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Píratar
35
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + Framsóknarflokkurinn
34
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
34
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
34
Samfylkingin + Flokkur fólksins + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
33
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn
35
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
34
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar
34
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
31
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
32
Samfylkingin + Flokkur fólksins + Píratar + Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
32
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar
32
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins + Píratar
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
31

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 01.07.2024 and 30.07.2024 among 4721 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Samfylkingin 27.6%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 17.2%, Miðflokkurinn 14.6%, Viðreisn 8.8%, Flokkur fólksins 8.6%, Píratar 7.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 7.2%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 4.7% and V 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!