Iceland
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Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 29.08.2024

Polling data

S
26.4
-1.2
D
17.1
-0.1
M
16.0
+1.4
C
10.1
+1.3
P
7.8
±0.0
B
7.0
-0.2
F
6.7
-1.9
J
5.7
+1.0
V
3.4
-0.1
Development since the last election on 25.09.2021
S
+16.5
D
-7.3
M
+10.6
C
+1.8
P
-0.8
B
-10.3
F
-2.1
J
+1.6
V
-9.2
Gallup – 5045 respondents – 01.08.2024-29.08.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Samfylkingin 26.4%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 17.1%, Miðflokkurinn 16%, Viðreisn 10.1%, Píratar 7.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 7%, Flokkur fólksins 6.7%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 5.7% and V 3.4%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Samfylkingin might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.5 growth since the last election. Framsóknarflokkurinn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 5045 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 28 days (01.08.2024 - 29.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

63
J
3
S
18
P
5
F
4
C
7
D
11
M
11
B
4
Majority requires 32 seats
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
40
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
35
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn
36
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn
36
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Píratar
34
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
34
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar
34
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins
34
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
33
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar
34
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
33
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
33
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
33
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
33
Samfylkingin + Miðflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
33
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn
31
Samfylkingin + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
31
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Píratar + Flokkur fólksins
31
Miðflokkurinn + Viðreisn + Píratar + Framsóknarflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
31

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The survey took place between 01.08.2024 and 29.08.2024 among 5045 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Samfylkingin 26.4%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 17.1%, Miðflokkurinn 16%, Viðreisn 10.1%, Píratar 7.8%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 7%, Flokkur fólksins 6.7%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 5.7% and V 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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