Iceland: Poll by Gallup from 21.11.2024

Polling data

S
20.2
-0.6
C
18.1
+2.6
D
16.0
-0.4
F
13.1
+2.9
M
12.2
-2.1
B
6.2
+0.2
J
5.1
-1.1
P
4.1
-1.4
V
3.3
+3.3
Others
1.7
-3.4
Development since the last election on 30.11.2024
S
-0.6
C
+2.2
D
-3.4
F
-0.7
M
+0.1
B
-1.6
J
+1.1
P
+1.1
V
+1.0
Gallup – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 15.11.2024-21.11.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Iceland is expected to take place in 2029.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Iceland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Iceland from Gallup shows the following results: Samfylkingin 20.2%, Viðreisn 18.1%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 16%, Flokkur fólksins 13.1%, Miðflokkurinn 12.2%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 6.2%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 5.1%, Píratar 4.1% and V 3.3%. If an election were held in Iceland this Sunday, Viðreisn might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Katrín Jakobsdóttir is currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Gallup. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (15.11.2024 - 21.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

63
Majority requires 32 seats
J
3
4.8%
S
14
22.2%
F
9
14.3%
P
2
3.2%
C
12
19%
D
11
17.5%
M
8
12.7%
B
4
6.3%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn
58.7%
Viðreisn + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins
55.6%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Viðreisn + Miðflokkurinn
54.0%
Samfylkingin + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
52.4%
Viðreisn + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
52.4%
Viðreisn + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins
50.8%
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn + Framsóknarflokkurinn
50.8%
Viðreisn + Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn + Miðflokkurinn
49.2%
Samfylkingin + Flokkur fólksins + Miðflokkurinn
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Iceland was conducted by Gallup. The poll took place between 15.11.2024 and 21.11.2024. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get Samfylkingin 20.2%, Viðreisn 18.1%, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn 16%, Flokkur fólksins 13.1%, Miðflokkurinn 12.2%, Framsóknarflokkurinn 6.2%, Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands 5.1%, Píratar 4.1% and V 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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