Current election polls and polling data from Behaviour and Attitudes

Latest voting intention survey by Behaviour and Attitudes for Ireland

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Ireland conducted by Behaviour and Attitudes, the parties received the following results: Sinn Féin 35%, Fianna Fáil 22%, Fine Gael 17%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 1% and Aontú 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 906 people during the period 09.05.2023 - 09.05.2023. The survey was commissioned by The Sunday Times.
906 participants
27.04.2023 - 09.05.2023
Behaviour and Attitudes
The Sunday Times
SF
35.0
-2.0
FF
22.0
+1.0
FG
17.0
+2.0
GP
5.0
-1.0
Lab
4.0
±0.0
SD
3.0
-1.0
S-PBP
1.0
-1.0
Aon
1.0
-1.0
Others
12.0
+3.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

160
Majority requires 81 seats
SF
65
40.6%
S-PBP
1
0.6%
Lab
7
4.4%
SD
5
3.1%
GP
9
5.6%
Aon
1
0.6%
FF
41
25.6%
FG
31
19.4%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party + Social Democrats
52.5%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
50.6%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party
50.6%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
49.4%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Social Democrats
49.4%

60

PolitPro Score

Behaviour and Attitudes achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Aon
17
83
0
FF
10
44
46
FG
21
64
15
GP
3
95
3
Lab
3
95
3
S-PBP
8
90
3
SD
13
87
0
SF
3
59
38

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.